Thomason: Start 'Em, Sit 'Em For Week 7

Josh Allen and Tevin Coleman have favorable matchups this week.

Jack Thomason
October 17, 2019 - 8:11 am

(670 The Score) "Sit ‘Em, Start ‘Em" is a breakdown of some of the best and worst fantasy football matchups to help you navigate setting your lineups for the week.

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My goal with this article is to provide you with a player to start who may not be the most obvious of starts and to share a player to sit whom you normally wouldn't consider shying away from regardless of matchup. 

Let's get to it.

Quarterback

START – Josh Allen, Bills (vs. Dolphins) Allen isn’t running at quite the clip he was in 2018 but still enough that it raises his weekly floor and provides upside. He’s been a mid-range QB2 so far this season and now he faces a Dolphins team that hasn’t stopped anyone. Miami ranks 30th in 4for4’s schedule-adjusted points allowed (aFPA) and 32nd in Football Outsiders’ pass defense DVOA. The Bills are also 16.5-point home favorites with an implied team total of 28.5 points. For context, only the Rams have a higher team total this week at 28.75 points. Fire up Allen and don't look back. 

SIT – Philip Rivers, Chargers (vs. Titans) Rivers and the Chargers are in a world of hurt. Los Angeles is battling significant injuries, including to the offensive line. Rivers has had little time to throw, and and the Chargers offense looks sluggish. On top of that, they're one of the slowest-paced offenses in the league and face a stingy Titans' pass defense this week that ranks ninth in aFPA and 12th in DVOA. The Chargers are slated to score just 19 points in Week 7, one of the lowest totals on the week.

Running back

START – Tevin Coleman, 49ers (vs. Redskins) San Francisco is a 10-point favorite in traveling to Washington with an implied team total of 25 points. Since returning in Week 5, Coleman has seen 34 carries and scored two touchdowns. The 49ers' ground game is clicking on all cylinders and is the engine to this offense. Coleman is a no-brainer, high- upside RB2 in a matchup against the Redskins' 30th-ranked run defense in aFPA. There’s more than enough to go around in this offense to support Matt Breida and Coleman. 

SIT – Joe Mixon, Bengals (vs. Jaguars) There have been a few flashes for Mixon this season but not enough to keep the light on for his fantasy hopes this week. The Jaguars aren't a formidable run defense -- ranking 32nd in run DVOA and 24th in aFPA to running backs -- but we can’t trust Mixon in this Bengals offense right now. The offensive line is atrocious, he’s getting little opportunity in the passing game and he’s been held to 17 yards or fewer in three contests this year. You’re likely starting him and hoping for the best, but at this point, there’s no comfort in doing that. 

Receiver

START – John Brown, Bills (vs. Dolphins) I’m not sure I need to say much more on this matchup than I did under Allen's section. What I’ll add is that the Dolphins rank 27th in aFPA to receivers and Brown has gone topped the 50-yard mark in every game. He has 70 or more yards in three of his five games and at least five catches in all but one contest. If the Bills are going to hit their 28.5-point implied total, Brown should be heavily involved. (One note: Brown popped up on the injury report Wednesday with a groin issue.)

SIT – Allen Robinson, Bears (vs. Saints) It’s a shame Robinson has been stuck with Blake Bortles and Mitchell Trubisky in his career. He’s such a good player. Unfortunately, his quarterback issue is a real one, and the matchup is difficult this Sunday. The Saints rank third in aFPA to receivers, and their pass defense ranks 13th in DVOA. The Bears have a low team total, and Robinson will see a lot of Marshon Lattimore, who has shut down Amari Cooper, Mike Evans and DJ Chark the last three weeks. 

Tight end

START – Noah Fant, Broncos (vs. Chiefs) We're going back to the well with Fant for a second week in a row. His matchup is good one, as Kansas City allows the third-most receptions and fifth-most fantasy points to tight ends. Emmanuel Sanders is on track to play, but he’s a little banged up, which could lead to increased opportunity for Fant. All in all, this isn’t a confident start but rather a shot in the dark given the misery that is the tight end position in fantasy.  

SIT – Jared Cook, Saints (at Bears) The Bears aren't the formidable matchup for tight ends that one might think. They rank 27th in aFPA to the position, but the Saints have a measly 17.75-point team total, and this should be a slugfest. I envision a lot of ground and pound and a lot of Michael Thomas from the New Orleans offense, leaving Cook owners grasping at air.

Other starts: Jared Goff (at Falcons), Royce Freeman (vs. Chiefs), Phillip Dorsett/Jakobi Meyers (vs. Jets) and Darren Fells (at Colts).

Other sits: Sam Darnold (at Patriots), David Montgomery (vs. Saints), Robby Anderson (at Patriots) and Delanie Walker (vs. Chargers).

Jack Thomason is 670 The Score’s fantasy football expert. Follow him on Twitter @jthomason77 and feel free to ask fantasy questions.​