Thomason: Start 'Em, Sit 'Em For Week 4

It's time to hop on the Daniel Jones bandwagon.

Jack Thomason
September 27, 2019 - 2:27 pm

(670 The Score) "Sit ‘Em, Start ‘Em" is a breakdown of some of the best and worst fantasy football matchups to help you navigate setting your lineups for the week.

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My goal with this article is to provide you with a player to start who may not be the most obvious of starts and to share a player to sit whom you normally wouldn't consider shying away from regardless of matchup. 

Let's get to it.

Quarterback

START – Daniel Jones, Giants (vs. Redskins) Jones made his NFL debut and led a heroic comeback against the Buccaneers last Sunday. How good was he? He was the QB1 overall in fantasy in his first career start. This week, he faces a Redskins defense that ranks 29th in 4for4’s schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) to quarterbacks, while the Giants boast a Vegas-implied team total of 25.75 points. Jones sparked excitement and hope in this offense with both his arm and his legs, and that dual-threat ability is something fantasy owners love. Look for Jones to have another good week.

SIT – Mitchell Trubisky, Bears (vs. Vikings) Trubisky finally showed up in throwing three touchdowns Monday night, but it came against Washington’s lowly pass defense. He faces a stingy Vikings defense in one of of the lowest over/under matchups (38 points) of the week. The Bears’ team total is just 20.25 points, and it wouldn’t surprise me if this ended up a 13-10 type of game given the strength of the defenses. Unless Trubisky gets back to aggressively running the ball, he’s not worth a starting spot in your lineup. 

Running back

START – Kerryon Johnson, Lions (vs. Chiefs) This game has the highest over/under of the week, currently sitting at 54.5 points. Since C.J. Anderson was cut, Johnson’s snap share has risen to 77 percent and he had the first 20-carry game of his career. The Chiefs are allowing more than six yards per carry to opposing running backs, by far the worst mark in the league. If Detroit wants to have a chance to win, it needs to replicate what Baltimore did too late last Sunday: pound the rock and keep the Kansas City offense on the sideline. Johnson’s usage and opportunity are all lining up to have a big week.

SIT – Frank Gore, Bills (vs. Patriots) This will be the stiffest test yet for the Patriots' defense, but the Bills are sporting a team total of just 17.5 points and they’re 7.5-point home underdogs. Gore has been a fantasy surprise early on, but this is a tough week to play him. Tom Brady and the Patriots have historically rolled in Buffalo and if they get out to a big lead, Gore will be left behind. While the Patriots have played poor competition to start the season, they're still allowing just 36.7 rushing yards per game. That stat is mind-boggling regardless of the competition. The next-closest is is the Ravens, who are allowing 60.3 rushing yards per game.

Receiver

START – Christian Kirk, Cardinals (vs. Seahawks) The touchdowns haven't been there for Kirk, but the volume has been. He’s tied for third in the NFL with 31 targets. While he’s 35th in yardage, the volume is going to pay off eventually. The Seahawks are tougher against the run than the pass, so this is a week that I'm willing to bet on Kirk putting it all together for some big fantasy points. As the Cardinals' offense continues to jell and Russell Wilson is throwing the ball more than in the past, this game could have sneaky shootout potential.

SIT – Stefon Diggs, Vikings (at Bears) It’s a sad day when we have to consider Diggs as barely startable in any given week. Unfortunately in the Vikings' new offensive scheme, there aren't enough targets to support multiple receivers from a fantasy perspective. Diggs has just 12 targets through three games, and while he’s historically performed well against the the Bears, you can't trust the volume in what projects to be a defensive battle. 

Tight end

START – Will Dissly, Seahawks (at Cardinals) Rule of thumb: Start your tight ends against the Cardinals. Arizona has been getting smashed by opposing tight ends, ranking as far and away the worst in the NFL in aFPA to tight ends. Greg Olsen, T.J. Hockenson and Mark Andrews have combined for 20 receptions, 325 yards and four touchdowns against them. That’s an insane average of 6.7 receptions for 108.3 yards and 1.3 touchdowns per game. Dissly should find the end zone at a minimum.

SIT – Jared Cook, Saints (vs. Cowboys) This is a different offense with Teddy Bridgewater running the show rather than Drew Brees, and Cook is feeling it. He has seen 12 targets in three games and just two last week. The Cowboys' defense is no pushover, and the Saints have an implied team total of 22.25 points. It’ll be a lot of Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara, like it was last week.

Other starts: Jared Goff (vs. Buccaneers), Wayne Gallman (vs. Redskins), Paul Richardson (at Giants) and Eric Ebron (vs. Raiders).

Other sits: Baker Mayfield (at Ravens), David Montgomery (vs. Vikings), John Brown (vs. Patriots) and Tyler Eifert (at Steelers).

Jack Thomason is 670 The Score’s fantasy football expert. Follow him on Twitter @jthomason77 and feel free to ask fantasy questions.​