Ostrowski: What To Wager On In Bears-Giants

There are a few overs to bet in what should be a low-scoring game.

Joe Ostrowski
November 22, 2019 - 2:19 pm

(670 The Score) While all signs point to Bears quarterback Mitchell Trubisky starting against the Giants after missing all of one series last Sunday with a hip pointer, whether it’s Trubisky or Chase Daniel under center for the Bears, oddsmakers don’t care.

"Frankly, there is no difference between Trubisky and Daniel in terms of what the line is — maybe a half a point" said Jeff Davis, the director of trading for Caesars Entertainment.

The Bears are six-point home favorites with a total of 41.5. 

"This game is amongst Bills-Browns, Dolphins-Broncos, Bucs-Falcons," Davis said. "Noon is a wasteland of awfulness."

Let's take a look at my picks of the week.

PICK: 1st half under 20.5

There’s no reason not to go back to this well. Bears coach Matt Nagy’s offense is scoring only 7.3 points per game in the first half, the second-lowest mark in the NFL.

On a positive note, the Bears defense is allowing 7.7 points per game in the first half, the third-best mark in the league. It feels like it would take a defensive or special teams touchdown to hit the over, much like in the Bears' games against the Redskins and Saints.

PICK: Allen Robinson over receiving yards

Robinson will be relieved to see this weak Giants secondary this Sunday after facing Rams shutdown cornerback Jalen Ramsey last week. New York slot cornerback Corey Ballentine and rookie cornerback DeAndre Baker rank 186th and 190th, respectively, in Pro Football Focus' position rankings.

PICK: Saquon Barkley over rushing yards

Since defensive lineman Akiem Hicks was injured, the Bears run defense has been a sieve, yielding 710 rushing yards over the last six games. Pro Bowl running back Barkley is looking to bounce back after the worst statistical game of his career. Barkley rushed for 125 yards against a much better Bears unit last season.

Joe Ostrowski hosts evenings on 670 The Score. Listen to his weekly sports betting podcast here. When he's not on the Score in evenings, he's also a host of You Better You Bet, which runs from 5-9 p.m. weekdays on Radio.com Sports. Follow Joe on Twitter @JoeO670.​